Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.019807 0.021676 0.023557 0.025589 0.027716 0.029874 0.032225
2025-07-20 0.016049 0.018955 0.022000 0.025408 0.029098 0.032955 0.037274
2025-07-27 0.013657 0.017141 0.020907 0.025237 0.030035 0.035152 0.040987
2025-08-03 0.012434 0.016401 0.020798 0.025956 0.031772 0.038067 0.045336
2025-08-10 0.010880 0.015116 0.019932 0.025696 0.032306 0.039558 0.048030
2025-08-17 0.009540 0.013956 0.019101 0.025378 0.032687 0.040804 0.050384
2025-08-24 0.008456 0.013008 0.018440 0.025185 0.033148 0.042089 0.052734
2025-08-31 0.007473 0.012106 0.017768 0.024920 0.033474 0.043177 0.054826
2025-09-07 0.006683 0.011387 0.017268 0.024815 0.033951 0.044408 0.057053
2025-09-14 0.005809 0.010487 0.016487 0.024322 0.033928 0.045027 0.058551
2025-09-21 0.005021 0.009640 0.015724 0.023807 0.033841 0.045542 0.059901
2025-09-28 0.004256 0.008759 0.014864 0.023128 0.033520 0.045752 0.060871
2025-10-05 0.003883 0.008462 0.014816 0.023542 0.034623 0.047758 0.064080
2025-10-12 0.003321 0.007837 0.014307 0.023359 0.035003 0.048928 0.066348
2025-10-19 0.002833 0.007270 0.013836 0.023196 0.035382 0.050077 0.068577
2025-10-26 0.002643 0.007170 0.014014 0.023882 0.036826 0.052515 0.072340
2025-11-02 0.002223 0.006627 0.013516 0.023634 0.037062 0.053467 0.074315
2025-11-09 0.001840 0.006094 0.012998 0.023331 0.037205 0.054288 0.076120
2025-11-16 0.001532 0.005652 0.012584 0.023147 0.037486 0.055265 0.078104
2025-11-23 0.001250 0.005208 0.012137 0.022894 0.037658 0.056094 0.079899
2025-11-30 0.001031 0.004857 0.011811 0.022794 0.038018 0.057151 0.081963
2025-12-07 0.000784 0.004381 0.011247 0.022325 0.037868 0.057551 0.083214
2025-12-14 0.000575 0.003929 0.010686 0.021834 0.037669 0.057874 0.084357